Trump Leads Biden in 2024 Matchup as Majority View His Presidency as Success, Poll Finds

Former President Donald Trump holds a 6-point lead over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup, according to a new CNN/SSRS poll. The survey found that 49% of registered voters would back Trump, while 43% would support Biden if the election were held today.

The poll also revealed a stark contrast in how Americans view the two presidents' tenures. A majority of respondents, 55%, said they consider Trump's presidency a success, while only 39% said the same about Biden's current term. This marks a significant shift from previous polls, which had shown Biden with a slight edge over his predecessor.

Trump and Biden have both secured the necessary delegates to clinch their respective party nominations, setting the stage for a potential rematch of the contentious 2020 election. However, voters expressed dissatisfaction with both candidates, with 58% holding an unfavorable view of Biden and 55% saying the same about Trump.

Why this matters: The poll results highlight the challenges facing Biden as he seeks to rally support for his reelection bid amid low approval ratings and concerns about the economy. The findings also underscore Trump's enduring appeal among a significant portion of the electorate, despite his controversial tenure and ongoing legal battles.

In key battleground states, the race remains tight. CBS News/YouGov polls show Trump narrowly leading Biden by one percentage point in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Biden holds a slight advantage in Michigan. Voters in these states expressed pessimism about the economy, with only around a quarter saying it has improved since the pandemic.

The polls also gauged voter awareness of the recent indictment against Trump in New York, with only 40% indicating they had heard or read a lot about the hush money case. Nationally, Trump maintains a one-point lead over Biden, according to the latest RealClearPolitics aggregate.

As the 2024 campaign intensifies, both Trump and Biden face the challenge of convincing a divided electorate that they are best suited to address the nation's pressing issues. With the economy and other domestic concerns at the forefront of voters' minds, the outcome of the election may depend on which candidate can present a compelling vision for the country's future.

Key Takeaways

• Trump leads Biden by 6 points in hypothetical 2024 matchup (49% to 43%).
• Majority (55%) view Trump's presidency as successful, vs. 39% for Biden.
• Both Trump and Biden face high unfavorability ratings (55% and 58% respectively).
• Tight race in key battleground states, with voters pessimistic about the economy.
• Outcome may depend on which candidate can address voters' pressing concerns.